MAINSTREAMING CLIMATE CHANGE ADAPTATION IN AGRICULTURAL EXTENSION
SLIDE 4 - Communicating probabilities of climate events with
farmers
The past can help to predict
i.e. it can be used to give us the probability e.g. ....... of
weather next year
e.g. the probability / chance of there being a drought next
year
Assuming that climate has not changed drastically (i.e. that there
is no clear pattern of change)
Approximate probabilities can be useful
By looking at climate data from many years, we can work out the „chance‟
of what the weather will do in a future season
Let us look at some data from Bulawayo...
SLIDE 5 – FARMERS CAN WORK THEM OUT
Slide of Bulawayo rainfall (1951 – 1990)
Refer to the slide. This shows the total rainfall
By looking at climate data from many years, we can work out
the „chance‟ of what the weather will do in a future season.
A Training Manual on Use of Climate Information and Vulnerability and Capacity Assessment for
Agricultural Extension Staff in Zimbabwe
Page 52